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2 of the Factors That Impact Mortgage Rates

If you’re looking to buy a home, you’ve probably been paying close attention to mortgage rates. Over the last couple of years, they hit record lows, rose dramatically, and are now dropping back down a bit. Ever wonder why?

The answer is complicated because there’s a lot that can influence mortgage rates. Here are just a few of the most impactful factors at play.

Inflation and the Federal Reserve

The Federal Reserve (Fed) doesn’t directly determine mortgage rates. But the Fed does move the Federal Funds Rate up or down in response to what’s happening with inflation, the economy, employment rates, and more. As that happens, mortgage rates tend to respond. Business Insider explains:

“The Federal Reserve slows inflation by raising the federal funds rate, which can indirectly impact mortgages. High inflation and investor expectations of more Fed rate hikes can push mortgage rates up. If investors believe the Fed may cut rates and inflation is decelerating, mortgage rates will typically trend down.”

Over the last couple of years, the Fed raised the Federal Fund Rate to try to fight inflation and, as that happened, mortgage rates jumped up, too. Fortunately, the expert outlook for inflation and mortgage rates is that both should become more favorable over the course of the year. As Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at Realtor.com, says:

“[M]ortgage rates will continue to ease in 2024 as inflation improves . . .”

There’s even talk the Fed may actually cut the Fed Funds Rate this year because inflation is cooling, even though it’s not yet back to their ideal target.

The 10-Year Treasury Yield

Additionally, mortgage companies look at the 10-Year Treasury Yield to decide how much interest to charge on home loans. If the yield goes up, mortgage rates usually go up, too. The opposite is also true. According to Investopedia:

“One frequently used government bond benchmark to which mortgage lenders often peg their interest rates is the 10-year Treasury bond yield.”

Historically, the spread between the 10-Year Treasury Yield and the 30-year fixed mortgage rate has been fairly consistent, but that’s not the case recently. That means, there’s room for mortgage rates to come down. So, keeping an eye on which way the treasury yield is trending can give experts an idea of where mortgage rates may head next.

Bottom Line

With the Fed meeting later this week, experts in the industry will be keeping a close watch to see what they decide and what impact it’ll have on the economy. To navigate any mortgage rate changes and their impact on your moving plans, it’s best to have a team of professionals on your side.


Posted on January 31, 2024

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    🚨 Welcome to REAL, Ryan! 🚨 

Please help me give a warm welcome to @ryanburksrealtor, one of the newest additions to our REAL family!

Ryan is a seasoned agent in Waynesboro, VA, with a background in homebuilding and a true heart for helping people navigate their real estate journey. We first connected at a conference years ago, and since then, Ryan’s been a familiar face—showing up to classes, webinars, and implementing what he’s learned. 🙌🏼

When he reached out recently for mentorship and alignment with REAL, I was deeply honored. It’s agents like Ryan—committed, community-driven, and collaborative—who are helping us grow something really special in the Shenandoah Valley and beyond.

✨ Stay tuned as we announce even more incredible agents joining our REAL crew this month!

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    JUST LISTED | 🏠 824 Nassau Street Charlottesville VA 22902 | MLS #666775 | $299,000 | 🛏️ 4 bed 🛁 2 full bath | 🎉 OPEN HOUSE Saturday, July 12th from 11 AM - 1 PM!

This 4-bedroom, 2-bath attached home offers an open main level with a spacious kitchen and living area that’s perfect for entertaining. A convenient first-floor bedroom adds flexibility for guests, a home office, or multi-generational living. 

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Two stunning new listings, each with its own irresistible appeal, are now available!
Your next dream home might be one tour away. Let’s go see them!

JUST LISTED | 🏠 34 Zephyr Road Palmyra VA 22963 | MLS #666386 | $375,000 | 🛏️ 3 bed 🛁 2 full bath | 🎉 OPEN HOUSE Sunday, July 13th from 11 AM - 1 PM!

JUST LISTED | 🏠 2777 Peppervine Court Charlottesville VA 22911 | MLS #666469 | $725,000 | 🛏️ 5 bed 🛁 3 full/ 1 half bath | 🎉 OPEN HOUSE Saturday, July 12th from 12 PM - 2 PM!

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    COMING SOON | 🏠 2777 Peppervine Court Charlottesville VA 22911 | MLS #666469 | $725,000 | 🛏️ 5 bed 🛁 3 full/ 1 half bath | 🎉 OPEN HOUSE Saturday, July 12th from 12 PM - 2 PM!

Located in the highly desirable FOREST LAKES SOUTH community, this 5-bedroom, 3.5-bath home is ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The beautifully updated kitchen features RECYCLED GLASS Countertops, new CABINETS, SINK, BACKSPLASH, and APPLIANCES - all filled with NATURAL LIGHT and opening to the inviting family room. From there, step out to a lovely SCREENED-IN PORCH perfect for relaxing!

 A dedicated HOME OFFICE adds flexibility for remote work or study. Upstairs, you'll find a SPACIOUS PRIMARY SUITE with a PRIVATE BATH, THREE additional bedrooms, and a FULL hall bath. The FINISHED BASEMENT includes a 5th bedroom, a LARGE REC ROOM perfect for game nights or movie marathons, and a BONUS ROOM ideal for a gym, studio, or creative space. Enjoy peace of mind with a NEW ROOF (2021) Situated at the end of a quiet CUL-DE-SACand within WALKING DISTANCE to both the Elementary and Middle SCHOOLS, this home truly has it all!!

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    From all of us at Story House, wishing you and your loved ones a joyful, safe, and spark-filled 4th of July!

🇺🇸 Happy Birthday, America! ✨

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